But what I am saying is that because of the low percentage of slaves in those states they would have been the most likely to have voted to become a free state of all the other southern states. Arkansas for example has the same percentage of blacks to white in the 2000 census as there was in the 1860 census, 80% white to 20% black. The smallest percentage of blacks to white of any of the southern states other than maybe Texas. Certainly the largest majority of those slaves in 1860 were owned by a far fewer than 20% of the white in the states. So the majority of whites in Arkansas had no vested interest in owning slaves.
Most of the slaves in Arkansas were concentrated in the delta were cotton growing was profitable. But the rest of the state north and west were unsuitable for growing cotton and did not have many slave owners in that part of the state. The same with Texas once you get away from the northerneastern part of the state you didn't find many slave owners.
It would seem that demographically if there were any of the southern Confederate States would have become Free states it was these two state. They could have just as easily entered the Union as Free States had they been north of the 36th parallel like Missouri and Kansas. So it makes one wonder.