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Hypotheticals that are hard to contemplate today

While watching Gettysburg for the nth time, three purely hypothetical questions came to mind - had the South won the WBTS, and I mean won decisively, i.e., not a "draw" resulting from political pressures in the North as might have resulted from a CSA victory at Gettysburg, but decisively,

1. Do you believe the result really would have been a new, sovereign nation (the CSA), as foreign to the USA (with the exception of shared borders) as any European country was then, or might the South's realization of CSA "nationhood" have been at least delayed indefinitely, if not abandoned completley - based on the condition of the South's finances, infrastructure, etc. following such a CSA victory?

2. Had the CSA actually come into existence as inferred above, do you believe the CSA would exist today?

3. If not, why not?

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