I believe it was a combination of things. Two big words are Gettysburg and Vicksburg. Either one was bad, both devastating, If one got into it, the real turning point may have been in the early part when the South lost any real seaport and the Union had enough ships to keep it that way.
Pam
BTW, David, I've ordered A Conquering Spirit. Should be here in about a week. Can't wait to read it.